GWT: EPL - Matchweek 37 (Ft. MW 34)

bluesfan94

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Jan 7, 2008
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The penultimate matchweek and still a lot to play for. At the top of the table, nominally three teams remain, although it would take quite the collapses for Liverpool to factor in. In Matchweek 37, and the midweek matchweek 34 matches, Arsenal will be hoping for assistance from their London rivals, with Manchester City heading down to the capital first to take on Fulham and then Spurs in the midweek. It will all be for naught if Arsenal does not secure three points against floundering rivals Man United, who have the homefield advantage.

The battle for top 4 is also nearing a conclusion, although Aston Villa's anemic showing this past week will do little to instill confidence. Still, Spurs would almost certainly need 9 points, starting when they host Burnley and then City midweek. The remaining European spots are still the most competitive spots in the table, although calling it competition makes it sound better than it has been.

At the bottom of the table, a Forest win practically relegates both Burnley and Luton Town, but Forest will be hosting a Chelsea team looking for points to keep them in the European hunt. Burnley will need a win against Spurs, who have been in poor form of late, to keep their dream of remaining in the EPL alive. Luton, meanwhile, heads to London to take on the Hammers.

HomeAwayTime and Date (CT)Venue
FulhamManchester CitySat., May 4, 6:30 AMCraven Cottage
EvertonSheffield UnitedSat., May 4, 9:00 AMGoodison Park
West Ham UnitedLuton TownSat., May 4, 9:00 AMLondon Stadium
BournemouthBrentfordSat., May 4, 9:00 AMVitality Stadium
Wolverhampton WandersCrystal PalaceSat., May 4, 9:00 AMMolineux Stadium
Tottenham HotspurBurnleySat., May 4, 9:00 AMTottenham Hotspur Stadium
Newcastle UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionSat., May 4, 9:00 AMSt. James's Park
Nottingham ForestChelseaSat., May 11, 11:30 AMCity Ground
Manchester UnitedArsenalSun., May 12, 10:30 AMOld Trafford
Aston VillaLiverpoolMon., May 13, 2:00 PMVilla Park
Tottenham HotspurManchester CityTue., May 14, 2:00 PMTottenham Hotspur Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionChelseaWed., May 15, 1:45 PMThe AmEx
Manchester UnitedNewcastle UnitedWed., May 15, 2:00 PMOld Trafford
 
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bluesfan94

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Champions League Spots (4)
1. Arsenal - 80 (Confirmed)
2. Man City - 79 (Confirmed)
3. Liverpool - 75 (Confirmed)
4. Aston Villa - 67 (Magic Number: 3)
5. Tottenham Hotspur - 60 (Magic Number: 14)

Europa League Spots (1-2)
5. Tottenham Hotspur - 60 (Magic Number: 6)
6. Newcastle United - 56
7. Chelsea - 54
8. Manchester United - 54
9. West Ham United - 49
10. Bournemouth - 48
11. Brighton & Hove Albion - 47

As a reminder, 5th place is Europa. 6th place is Europa IF City wins the FA Cup or if Man U finish 6th or better. 7th place is Europa Conference League unless Man U finishes 7th or worst and wins the FA Cup

Relegation
17. Nottingham Forest - 29 (Magic Number: 4)
18. Luton Town - 26 (Relegated with loss and Nottingham Forest win or draw, OR draw and Nottingham Forest win)
19. Burnley - 24 (Relegated with loss, draw, or Nottingham Forest win)
20. Sheffield United - 16 (Confirmed)
 
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Savant

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Are The Luckiest really about to get Man Utd without Bruno too?
 
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Wee Baby Seamus

Yo, Goober, where's the meat?
Mar 15, 2011
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Champions League Spots (4)
1. Arsenal - 80 (Confirmed)
2. Man City - 79 (Confirmed)
3. Liverpool - 75 (Confirmed)
4. Aston Villa - 67 (Magic Number: 3)
5. Tottenham Hotspur - 60 (Magic Number: 14)

Europa League Spots (1-2)
5. Tottenham Hotspur - 60 (Magic Number: 6)
6. Newcastle United - 56
7. Chelsea - 54
8. Manchester United - 54
9. West Ham United - 49
10. Bournemouth - 48
11. Brighton & Hove Albion - 47

As a reminder, 5th place is Europa. 6th place is Europa IF City wins the FA Cup or if Man U finish 6th or better. 7th place is Europa Conference League unless Man U finishes 7th or worst and wins the FA Cup
If we're focused on Europa League (5-6), West Ham, Bournemouth, and Brighton are already out. Hammers and Bournemouth max at 54, while Brighton max at 56 but are -26 goals behind Newcastle.

The goal difference swings are also almost absolutely too much for either West Ham or Bournemouth to be in on 7th: -25 and -22 respectively.
 

bluesfan94

Registered User
Jan 7, 2008
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If we're focused on Europa League (5-6), West Ham, Bournemouth, and Brighton are already out. Hammers and Bournemouth max at 54, while Brighton max at 56 but are -26 goals behind Newcastle.

The goal difference swings are also almost absolutely too much for either West Ham or Bournemouth to be in on 7th: -25 and -22 respectively.
Yeah they’re still in contention for Europe but not Europa but it gets too complicated to try to show that given that it can change based on who wins the FA cup.
 

robertmac43

Forever 43!
Mar 31, 2015
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Brighton is in cruise mode for the rest of the season. Things were derailed early in the year when everyone started getting hurt.

As for Arsenal, just win and give yourself a chance.
 

les Habs

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
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Brighton is in cruise mode for the rest of the season. Things were derailed early in the year when everyone started getting hurt.

As for Arsenal, just win and give yourself a chance.

A big transfer offer and Ansu Fati will help turn things around.
 

KJS14

Registered User
Jun 13, 2013
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I’m taking a break after the season. I think yall will probably be okay without me
It just won't be the same...
IMG_1385.jpeg
 

hatterson

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Apr 12, 2010
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For relegation:

Relegation officially confirmed with Forest up and Burnley and Luton down if:
- Forest WIN AND (Luton DRAW or Luton LOSS)
OR
- Forest DRAW AND Luton LOSS AND (Burnley DRAW or Burnley LOSS)


Maximum chaos would be a Forest LOSS, a BIG Burnley WIN and a Luton DRAW. That would bring Burnley within GD range of Luton which would effectively mean that all three sides would need a win on final day.

For example if Burnley somehow got a 4-0 win it would leave them within 2 GD of Luton. Forest would still have a commanding GD lead, but Burnley would be going all out for the win and Forest would know that if they lose they're down so they likely wouldn't want to just sit back and try to part for a draw.
 

bluesfan94

Registered User
Jan 7, 2008
31,270
8,383
St. Louis
For relegation:

Relegation officially confirmed with Forest up and Burnley and Luton down if:
- Forest WIN AND (Luton DRAW or Luton LOSS)
OR
- Forest DRAW AND Luton LOSS AND (Burnley DRAW or Burnley LOSS)


Maximum chaos would be a Forest LOSS, a BIG Burnley WIN and a Luton DRAW. That would bring Burnley within GD range of Luton which would effectively mean that all three sides would need a win on final day.

For example if Burnley somehow got a 4-0 win it would leave them within 2 GD of Luton. Forest would still have a commanding GD lead, but Burnley would be going all out for the win and Forest would know that if they lose they're down so they likely wouldn't want to just sit back and try to part for a draw.
Oh yeah, I meant to include this in my post, one sec.
 

Wee Baby Seamus

Yo, Goober, where's the meat?
Mar 15, 2011
15,332
6,282
Halifax/Toronto
For relegation:

Relegation officially confirmed with Forest up and Burnley and Luton down if:
- Forest WIN AND (Luton DRAW or Luton LOSS)
OR
- Forest DRAW AND Luton LOSS AND (Burnley DRAW or Burnley LOSS)


Maximum chaos would be a Forest LOSS, a BIG Burnley WIN and a Luton DRAW. That would bring Burnley within GD range of Luton which would effectively mean that all three sides would need a win on final day.

For example if Burnley somehow got a 4-0 win it would leave them within 2 GD of Luton. Forest would still have a commanding GD lead, but Burnley would be going all out for the win and Forest would know that if they lose they're down so they likely wouldn't want to just sit back and try to part for a draw.
see my post in the EPL Season thread for the most fun possible outcome
 

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