Ok here's another fun one I actually wanted to do last offseason when were shopping for goalies.
Expected goals are flawed, goals above/below expected even more-so, but here's an attempt to add some context by opponent strength. Weighting UPL and Comries game log by opponents' goals/xgoals ratio:
Comrie: additional .352 goals per game allowed
UPL: additional .410 goals per game allowed
Neither great, and not a huge difference.
Remove the Dallas game and comrie goes down to .05, which seems pretty good considering our defense. I know we can't forget about that game altogether but it does seem to be an outlier. For reference, it would take getting rid of UPL's worst 4 games to match that average. I guess takeaway from this is that comrie plays more consistently to the xGA, and if we're trying to win games next year, and Levi's here, I'd take comrie over the long term upside of UPL that many still feel is there.
It should also be noted that this is only 5v5, and PK ability can't be overlooked in the comparison.