bigdaddio
Registered User
- Jan 22, 2019
- 1,165
- 1,149
My guess it's upwards of 80% but I can't seem to find this stat anywhere. Does anybody have access to this statistic?
^ that - and also, wouldn't you want a qualifier of there being no other stoppages between the opening faceoff and a goal...? Otherwise, the opening faceoff is irrelevant, no?
^ that - and also, wouldn't you want a qualifier of there being no other stoppages between the opening faceoff and a goal...? Otherwise, the opening faceoff is irrelevant, no?
I witnessed the following gambit by CBJ:
Start - Jenner-Laine-Werenski. Jenner wins the starting draw to Werenski and bolts off the ice, letting Voracek in. It paid off.
Once I rebuild my db with the new API, I can run the stats. I assume only the 3v3 OTs are relevant, right?
That is surprising and may kill my hypothesis, but do you have data from the last 4 years? I don't recall when the current meta took over of skating around waiting for the other team to tire out or make a bad change, but it's certainly in the last 4 years.There have been 2218 regular season games that went to OT and beyond since the 2015/16 season.
Out of these 1458 ended in OT.
Out of these 751 (51.5%) were won by the team who won the opening faceoff as well.
HTH.
Thank you. Awesome stuff.Since 2019/20 (included) we have 1091 games, 723 of them ending in OT, and in 399 of them (55.2%) the winner of the opening faceoff won the game.
You realize that at EV, when taking SO outcomes into account, it's watered down to below 53%?Thank you. Awesome stuff.
There is clearly a relatively large advantage to winning opening FO in OT, but not nearly as large as I expected.
Why just the opening faceoff? Wouldn't overall OT faceoff % be an even better indicator for the answer you are trying to get?
Their premise is that teams win the opening faceoff and then play keep-a-way until they're best positioned to score.
Right. I think a better way to phrase what I'm asking is: what makes the opening OT faceoff different from any other OT faceoff?
I'm genuinely curious what percentage of overtime non-opening faceoffs occur somewhere other than one's team's offensive zone.
I'll check later, but I'd assume offsides are the main cause.I'm genuinely curious what percentage of overtime non-opening faceoffs occur somewhere other than one's team's offensive zone.
Since 2015/16 - 441 out of 3764 faceoffs (11.7%) in Reg. OT. happened in NZ.I'm genuinely curious what percentage of overtime non-opening faceoffs occur somewhere other than one's team's offensive zone.
Since 2015/16 - 441 out of 3764 faceoffs (11.7%) in Reg. OT. happened in NZ.