daver
Registered User
For each season, I measured the PPG of the winner vs. the #10 PPG, #25 PPG and the #50 PPG (min. 40 games) and averaged those three.
For example, Kucherov's 23/24 PPG was 1.78, a 146 points/82 game pace. That was 1.402 times better than #10, 1.648 times better than #25, and 1.935 time better than #50.
Here is how the most recent winners' pts/82 game pace look against Kucherov's 146 point as the base comparable. E.g. each winner's PPG vs. the #10, #25 and #50 for each season in comparison to Kucherov's.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
McDavid - 21/22: 132
McDavid - 20/21: 169
Draisaitl - 19/20: 136
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
McDavid - 17/18: 119
McDavid - 16/17: 128
Kane - 15/16: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 131
Notable others
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Draisaitl 22/23 - 128
MacKinnon - 22/23: 125
Crosby - 12/13: 152
Malkin - 11/12: 144
Crosby - 10/11: 169
Sedin 09/10: 127
Ovechkin - 09/10: 140
Malkin - 08/09: 128
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
Crosby - 06/07: 126
Thornton - 05/06: 128
Comment
I don't think there are too many surprises here in terms of level of performance vs. direct peers. McDavid has the best full 82 season Art Ross win during his career while Ovechkin and Malkin have the best almost full seasons while Crosby has the best partial seasons during the "Big 3" era.
Once you line up recent Art Ross winners and other notables with the early post lockout winners and the two dominant DPE 2.0 winners there does seem to be a bias towards the recent winners. As a group, Kucherov, Draisaitl and MacKinnon seemingly would have been winning more Rosses than Malkin, Crosby and Ovechkin.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
Kucherov - 23/24: 146
Malkin - 11/12: 144
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Ovechkin - 09/10: 140
Draisaitl - 19/20: 136
Kane - 15/16: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 131
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
McDavid - 21/22: 132
Draisaitl 22/23 - 128
Malkin - 08/09: 128
Thornton - 05/06: 128
Sedin - 09/10: 127
Crosby - 06/07: 126
MacKinnon - 22/23: 125
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
The bias is reduced if you remove the #25 and #50 scorers from the calculation. There were more PP points being scored in the early post lockout which elevated the lower Top 50 PPGs.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
Malkin - 11/12: 153
Kucherov - 23/24: 146
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Kane - 15/16: 140
Ovechkin - 09/10: 138
Malkin - 08/09: 135
Draisaitl - 19/20: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 134
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
Crosby - 06/07: 133
Draisaitl 22/23 - 131
Thornton - 05/06: 131
MacKinnon - 22/23: 128
Sedin - 09/10: 125
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
McDavid - 21/22: 122
For example, Kucherov's 23/24 PPG was 1.78, a 146 points/82 game pace. That was 1.402 times better than #10, 1.648 times better than #25, and 1.935 time better than #50.
Here is how the most recent winners' pts/82 game pace look against Kucherov's 146 point as the base comparable. E.g. each winner's PPG vs. the #10, #25 and #50 for each season in comparison to Kucherov's.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
McDavid - 21/22: 132
McDavid - 20/21: 169
Draisaitl - 19/20: 136
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
McDavid - 17/18: 119
McDavid - 16/17: 128
Kane - 15/16: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 131
Notable others
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Draisaitl 22/23 - 128
MacKinnon - 22/23: 125
Crosby - 12/13: 152
Malkin - 11/12: 144
Crosby - 10/11: 169
Sedin 09/10: 127
Ovechkin - 09/10: 140
Malkin - 08/09: 128
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
Crosby - 06/07: 126
Thornton - 05/06: 128
Comment
I don't think there are too many surprises here in terms of level of performance vs. direct peers. McDavid has the best full 82 season Art Ross win during his career while Ovechkin and Malkin have the best almost full seasons while Crosby has the best partial seasons during the "Big 3" era.
Once you line up recent Art Ross winners and other notables with the early post lockout winners and the two dominant DPE 2.0 winners there does seem to be a bias towards the recent winners. As a group, Kucherov, Draisaitl and MacKinnon seemingly would have been winning more Rosses than Malkin, Crosby and Ovechkin.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
Kucherov - 23/24: 146
Malkin - 11/12: 144
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Ovechkin - 09/10: 140
Draisaitl - 19/20: 136
Kane - 15/16: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 131
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
McDavid - 21/22: 132
Draisaitl 22/23 - 128
Malkin - 08/09: 128
Thornton - 05/06: 128
Sedin - 09/10: 127
Crosby - 06/07: 126
MacKinnon - 22/23: 125
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
The bias is reduced if you remove the #25 and #50 scorers from the calculation. There were more PP points being scored in the early post lockout which elevated the lower Top 50 PPGs.
McDavid - 22/23: 153
Malkin - 11/12: 153
Kucherov - 23/24: 146
McDavid 23/24: 143
MacKinnon - 23/24: 140
Kane - 15/16: 140
Ovechkin - 09/10: 138
Malkin - 08/09: 135
Draisaitl - 19/20: 134
Crosby - 13/14: 134
Kucherov - 18/19: 133
Crosby - 06/07: 133
Draisaitl 22/23 - 131
Thornton - 05/06: 131
MacKinnon - 22/23: 128
Sedin - 09/10: 125
Ovechkin - 07/08: 124
McDavid - 21/22: 122
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