In Red = 2023-2024 worse than 2020-2023 average
In Green = 2023-2024 better than 2020-2023 average
All Strengths
Points: 113 -> 115 -> 111 -> 102
Wins: 51 -> 54 -> 50 -> 46
Regulation/OT Wins: 50 -> 51 -> 49 -> 41
Regulation Wins: 42 -> 45 -> 42 -> 33
Goal differential: +57 -> +62 -> +57 -> +40
Expected Goal Differential: +62 -> +65 -> +44 -> +27
Goals For/60: 3.30 -> 3.77 -> 3.36 -> 3.58
Expected Goals For/60: 3.44 -> 3.55 -> 3.46 -> 3.49
Goals Against: 2.62 -> 3.04 -> 2.66 -> 3.13
Expected Goals Against/60: 2.68 -> 2.78 -> 2.94 -> 3.17
Goals Saved Above Expected/60: -0.9 -> -21.0 -> +24.1 -> +5.4
5v5
Goal differential: +56 -> +26 -> +41 -> +30
Expected Goal Differential: +27 -> +38 -> +30 -> +8
Goals For/60: 2.85 -> 3.05 -> 2.76 -> 2.93
Expected Goals For/60: 2.85 -> 2.98 -> 2.96 -> 2.71
Goals Against/60: 2.04 -> 2.67 -> 2.15 -> 2.49
Expected Goals Against/60: 2.28 -> 2.42 -> 2.51-> 2.60
Powerplay
Goals For/60: 7.10 -> 10.60 -> 9.48 -> 9.01
Expected Goals For/60: 7.87 -> 9.18 -> 9.26 -> 9.71
Penalty Kill
Goals Against/60: 7.55 -> 6.59 -> 6.13 -> 8.40
Expected Goals Against/60: 5.81 -> 5.98 -> 6.72-> 7.92
So overall, still a good team, but a notable downgrade from the past few years and most things got worse.
We saw a slight upgrade in offense relative to 2 of the past 3 years, driven largely by internal depth graduating. We struggled a bit generating offense at 5v5 compared to past years, but converted well, while we largely did the opposite on the PP - generated well but struggled to convert.
Goaltending saw a drop-off from last year, but still stayed in the positives overall, and was better than the 2 years before last.
Defense and PKing both took a fairly significant hit though.
Kind of a disappointing start by Treliving, but at least we aren't locked into any long-term disasters, and there is still winning potential in this group. We did finish the year better than we started the year, and we have some younger players soaking up experience. Hopefully we can get Nylander back healthy, and go on a run here in the playoffs.