Didn't expect Iivo to be top 3 in the 30k, but he always had an outside chance - and with Norway fairly lost.... for the women you have, like Johaug I believe, benefitted from Sweden struggling. Normally there would have been at least one Swede in the top 3 on the 10k.
Would be very surprising if Finland don't end up top 3 in the relay for women. And if the Swedes aren't improving, they might even fight with Russia and Sweden for the gold.
For the men Russia will take a medal and with a fair degree of certainty win, but not sure who will take the two other medals. Norway should be in the top 3 and I think they will. Could very well see Iivo and Bolsjunov just crush the rest on the second stage. If so silver should be within reach. Norway haven't got a Krüger now to catch up on the third stage.
Truly sensational how poor Norway are. We are probably the only country where cross country is truly popular among kids. And still we have absolutely rubbish depth - especially among the women (even if arguably three out of four on the relay team are now in Norway rather than China because of Covid and Østberg's problems). Even for the men it is only Klæbo that is among the best with some like Krüger, Holund etc. who can fight for medals in certain races when they got good skis etc.