....the “Bergeron cap” existed in Boston.
And both the Benn and Miro cap exist in Dallas, presuming JK wants to stay. Of course, we thought Jamie O wanted to stay, but he bolted for a big paycheck.
I think Seguin's market value was probably 10+Mil, but he took a few dollars over Benn's contract, enough to allow Benn and fans to say he had the same contract after you figure inflation.
JK might get a few $$ more than $8.45 (Miro's AAV) for inflation but not a lot. At least here. If he is still in the mode of taking a guaranteed contract over AAV, it could very well be just a little less.
Again, I am trying to think of players the Stars let get away that really hurt them. I recall being appalled that they let Hatcher go, although Lites made sure we knew he had bad knees, and they were right, as it turned out. In the end, right now, for all JK knows, we have a credible (and close, but not as good even if he really develops) in Harley, so they may also use that as a sort of unspoken threat over his head, playing like they don't need him, they just want him, etc. And, to some degree, that will be true. While you can't replace a Klingberg with one player, it's not like most of his points wouldn't be replaced by a committee or a few individual players stepping up.
Whether or not Dallas should sign Klingberg is a reasonable conversation, but it's also not the one I'm most interested in.
If they want to sign Klingberg, there's a market, completely independent of Miro Heiskanen, Tyler Seguin, and Jamie Oleksiak. How any of them made a decision about their contract isn't a predictor fora a separate person.
Jamie Oleksiak didn't chase a huge pay day. It was several hundred thousand a year. Dallas had a number and didn't budge, and both sides probably made the right decision.
For every Radek Fassa who signs a below market deal, there is an Esa Lindell that sets the market higher for future RFA D at his level.
You can't just randomly grab 0arts of different negotiations that fit the narrative you hope to see happen.
Boston is also not Dallas. We have no idea if Nill would feel the same way, but to suggest its common because a single team went down that path isn't logical either.
People aren't algebra equations. I don't mean that in a negative way, and I agree and can be helpful to assess what options are available, but you can't take it so far that because this guy did ABC that other guy will.
Here is the only prediction I'd be willing to make. It will either play out identically as it did with Benn/Seguin where taxes, SB, buyout proof contracts, etc. slightly lowered the cap OR like Oleksiak they just don't close the gap. If its a sweet hometown discount, awesome. I'd be thrilled.
I also don't particularly care about Hatcher, Hull, or Modano because I don't think it would be totally catastrophic to lose him. It'll hurt in terms of asset management which always sucks, but hoping he signs doesn't mean I endorse the idea the organization is a failure if they don't.