CHfan1
Registered User
- Apr 23, 2012
- 8,053
- 9,305
I think the odds of somebody at -2 or -1 winning this tournament are higher than people might expect. Every other tournament, an 8 shot deficit is nearly impossible to make up because the leader earned that lead due to playing well on that course, and the chances of that leader randomly starting to play poorly is low. Now, there's no guarantee that the leader will play well on this course, so the chances of the leader playing poorly is a lot higher. Could be a total sweepstakes out there. Would love to see somebody like Ancer just enrage the golf world by stealing it.
I agree. Also they have 4 rounds to make that up; when they are down by 8 shots it is usually after 2 rounds and they are tied for 45th, not 16th. So they, normally, have a lot more players to leapfrog too.
The one thing to note is JT has played this course well over the last few years, finishing t6, 2nd, and t7.
Player to watch, IMO, is Xander Schauffele, 6 shots back and has played this course very well.
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